North Carolina Assessment of Risk (NCAR): Reliability and Predictive Validity with Juvenile Offenders

Autor/inn/en	Schwalbe, Craig S.; Fraser, Mark W.; Day, Steven H.; Arnold, Elizabeth Mayfield
Titel	North Carolina Assessment of Risk (NCAR): Reliability and Predictive Validity with Juvenile Offenders
Quelle	In: Journal of Offender Rehabilitation, 40 (2004) 1-2, S.1-22 (22 Seiten) PDF als Volltext Verfügbarkeit
Sprache	englisch
Dokumenttyp	gedruckt; online; Zeitschriftenaufsatz
ISSN	1050-9674
Schlagwörter	Recidivism; Predictive Validity; Interrater Reliability; Program Effectiveness; Juvenile Justice; Vignettes; Risk; Evaluation Methods; Item Analysis; Delinquent Rehabilitation; Gender Differences; Cultural Differences; North Carolina + Suchen Sie Ihr Suchwort? Rückfall; Interrater-Reliabilität; Jugendgerichtshilfe; Risiko; Itemanalyse; Geschlechterkonflikt; Kultureller Unterschied
Abstract	Actuarial risk assessment instruments are used increasingly in juvenile justice to classify youths according to their risk of recidivism. The purpose of this article is to describe the results of two studies of one instrument: the North Carolina Assessment of Risk (NCAR). In the first study, the inter-rater reliability of the risk assessment instrument was estimated with a sample of 175 court counselors who rated videotaped vignettes of juvenile offenders. In the second study, predictive validity was assessed prospectively by following a statewide sample of 464 delinquent youths for 12 months. Findings indicate that the risk assessment instrument increases reliability as compared to clinical judgment. Moreover, risk scores are correlated significantly with rearrest. However, analyses also show that relationships between risk scores and recidivism vary for subgroups based on gender and race/ethnicity. Though challenges remain in improving the accuracy of risk assessment, the findings suggest that actuarial assessment can be a valuable tool to support decision making in juvenile justice. (Contains 6 tables and 2 figures.) (As Provided).
Anmerkungen	Routledge. Available from: Taylor & Francis, Ltd. 325 Chestnut Street Suite 800, Philadelphia, PA 19106. Tel: 800-354-1420; Fax: 215-625-2940; Web site: http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals
Erfasst von	ERIC (Education Resources Information Center), Washington, DC
Update	2017/4/10